Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.135656 0.159659 0.186493 0.218690 0.256255 0.298678 0.350208
2025-11-02 0.096579 0.126471 0.163425 0.212376 0.275433 0.353846 0.458691
2025-11-09 0.072938 0.103461 0.144136 0.202126 0.282498 0.389771 0.543646
2025-11-16 0.060156 0.091128 0.135021 0.201473 0.299224 0.437391 0.647154
2025-11-23 0.049531 0.079495 0.124313 0.195823 0.306612 0.471197 0.733645
2025-11-30 0.043561 0.073600 0.120733 0.199516 0.327288 0.525597 0.855748
2025-12-07 0.038011 0.067345 0.115452 0.199376 0.341322 0.570631 0.967720
2025-12-14 0.032649 0.060490 0.108082 0.194505 0.346531 0.601472 1.059422
2025-12-21 0.028888 0.055802 0.103624 0.193764 0.358211 0.643679 1.174120
2025-12-28 0.026805 0.053824 0.103583 0.200666 0.383835 0.712086 1.341300
2026-01-04 0.025201 0.052493 0.104486 0.209283 0.413360 0.790180 1.533888
2026-01-11 0.023404 0.050507 0.103850 0.214788 0.437486 0.860640 1.719443
2026-01-18 0.021050 0.047221 0.100604 0.215487 0.453865 0.921149 1.898720
2026-01-25 0.018288 0.042675 0.094254 0.209166 0.455719 0.954460 2.030207
2026-02-01 0.015610 0.037866 0.086641 0.199057 0.448278 0.968117 2.123239
2026-02-08 0.014056 0.035356 0.083612 0.198414 0.460795 1.023907 2.310225
2026-02-15 0.012355 0.032216 0.078714 0.192846 0.461644 1.054921 2.447392
2026-02-22 0.011466 0.030915 0.077861 0.196485 0.483739 1.134397 2.700275
2026-03-01 0.010448 0.029118 0.075567 0.196347 0.496948 1.195426 2.918274
2026-03-08 0.009295 0.026779 0.071606 0.191548 0.498313 1.229392 3.077215
2026-03-15 0.008480 0.025217 0.069382 0.190818 0.509572 1.287734 3.300682
2026-03-22 0.008090 0.024781 0.070023 0.197619 0.540727 1.397283 3.661180
2026-03-29 0.007795 0.024570 0.071236 0.206108 0.577317 1.524162 4.078916